Tagovailoa, Burrow Lead Early NFL Season Trends
With the 2023 NFL season in full effect, collectors find themselves in a position where they can now use player performances to make decisions on where they want to spend their money. Today. we’re going to look at trends from the first couple weeks of the season to give you an indicator of where the NFL card market is at and if there are plays to be made.
Price Percentage Growers
Tua Tagovailoa: 2020 Prizm Negative #339 PSA 10 – 168%
Tua Tagovailoa: 2020 Select Premier Level #145 PSA 10 – 164%
Tua Tagovailoa: 2020 Select Premier Level Orange Die-Cut #145 PSA 10 – 150%
CeeDee Lamb: 2020 Mosaic Base #207 PSA 10 – 148%
Brock Purdy: 2022 Select Phenomenon #PHE-18 PSA 10 – 126%
Tagovailoa On the Rise: Tua Tagovailoa holds the top three spots in the single card price percentage risers over the last two weeks as a result of his stellar play. He has already amassed over 1,000 yards in just three games while tossing eight touchdowns. If you’re currently holding his cards, it may be a good time to consider getting them listed considering his injury history.
Price Percentage Decliners
Justin Jefferson: Optic Blue Scope #163 PSA 10: – 82%
Zach Wilson: 2021 Prizm Base #332 PSA 10: – 65%
Jalen Hurts: 2020 Prizm Draft Picks Base #129 PSA 10: – 63%
Deebo Samuel: 2019 Prizm Base #346 PSA 10: – 63%
Matt Corral 2022 Contenders Rookie Ticket Auto #130 PSA 10: – 62%
Poor Performance Meets Opportunity: While neither Zach Wilson or Matt Corrall are on our radar as a strong buy-now opportunity, Jalen Hurts, Deebo Samuel, and Justin Jefferson’s drops on lower-tier cards could provide decent buying opportunities, particularly for bulk flippers.
Breaking down the market
To gain better insight to the overall health of the NFL card market, below we’ll showcase information on all football cards released between 2010 and 2020 in regards to the last 14 days.
Interestingly, cards from 2010-2017 are far outperforming cards released between 2018-2020, which could suggest that younger players are more susceptible to higher volatility compared to established veterans. This overall dip of cards from 2018-2020 gives flippers plenty of opportunity to find particular players to invest in.
Source: Market Movers
Buying Opportunities:
1. Justin Jefferson: 2020 Prizm Silver #398 PSA 10
While we don’t always pitch skill position players, Justin Jefferson’s cards have seen a solid enough dip to consider adding him to your current portfolio. His 2020 Prizm Silver in PSA 10 is down 32% over the last 14 days, dropping $209. Stack up on him now and look to sell once the Vikings get the ship steered in the right direction.
2. Joe Burrow: 2020 Select Premier Level #146 PSA 10
Joe Burrow’s slow start has led to a significant dip in his overall card values, making his 2020 Select Premier Level PSA 10 a solid option. Down 37% over the last two weeks, you can now pick up these for less than $40, and they have decent liquidity trading 16 times over that time period.
3. Jalen Hurts: 2020 Select Premier Level Silver #150 PSA 10
Despite appearing to avoid a sophomore slump, Jalen Hurts’ cards have seen plenty of dips across the board that lead to investment opportunities. Hurts’ 2020 Select Premier Level Silver PSA 10 is down 39% the last 14 days, and is a great option for those looking to add Hurts to their portfolio.
With the Sports Card Investor app, you can profit from the hobby you love by keeping up with trending cards, tracking real-time prices with Market Movers and buying items on eBay.
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Paul Hickey is a regular contributor to Sports Card Investor, the creator of the Sports Card Investment Report at NoOffseason.com, and the host of the Sports Card Strategy Show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube. He can be found on Instagram at @sportscardstrategy and on Twitter @nooffseasoncard.
